Recent Blogs Posts

When it rains it pours and if I was a bear I'd be quite dejected by now.



Today's buying frenzy was touched off by an unemployment rate that fell to 8.3% in January from 8.5% the previous month. That was an unexpected reading for most economists. In addition, nonfarm payrolls spiked by 243,000, which was well above estimates calling for 155,000. Private payrolls also rose, in this case by 257,000. That too was well above estimates as economists ...

02/03/12

The Dow closed down 11-points yesterday but stocks were mostly higher on the day as the S&P 500, Nasdaq, small caps, and I-fund stocks all posted modest gains.


For the TSP, the C-fund gained 0.12% yesterday, the S-fund was up 0.35%, the I-fund made 0.25%, and the F-fund (bonds) picked up 0.08%.

I am often asked ...

TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 2/06/12- 2/10/12

Buy: The TSP Talk Sentiment Survey came in at 50% bulls, 42% bears, for a bulls to bears ratio of 1.19 to 1. That is another fresh buy signal in a bull market which means the system will remain 100% S Fund for the week of 2/06/12 - 2/10/12.

Bull market rules are in affect the week of 1/09/12:

See latest survey results

To discuss or comment on the Sentiment Survey, go to Sentiment ...

You've been seeing how the market has been chopping around, often closing with mixed results before popping to the upside the past few weeks. Well, that's still the trend. After yesterday's pop, which was preceded by choppy, mixed action, the market has settled back into a largely sideways pattern. One thing to recognize however, is how much stronger the Wilshire 4500 (S fund) has been relative to the S&P 500 (C fund). As of yesterday's close the Wilshire 4500 is up 9.71% not counting today's modest ...

02/02/12

Same as the old month. February starts off with a bang as we saw the Dow up over 150-points during the first hour of trading in the new month. The Dow and S&P did lose some steam late in the day finishing up < 1%, but small caps and the international stocks held onto big gains.



For the TSP, the C-fund gained 0.91% yesterday, the S-fund ...